Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.048755 0.056836 0.065710 0.076163 0.088120 0.101350 0.117081
2025-05-11 0.036399 0.046905 0.059508 0.075668 0.095763 0.119841 0.150787
2025-05-18 0.027493 0.038748 0.053346 0.073507 0.100443 0.134974 0.182344
2025-05-25 0.021506 0.032860 0.048656 0.071951 0.105085 0.150110 0.215412
2025-06-01 0.017711 0.029103 0.045973 0.072337 0.111947 0.168552 0.254656
2025-06-08 0.014322 0.025209 0.042302 0.070493 0.115033 0.181669 0.287492
2025-06-15 0.012793 0.023912 0.042284 0.074023 0.126371 0.207790 0.341859
2025-06-22 0.010920 0.021657 0.040302 0.073994 0.131911 0.225394 0.384712
2025-06-29 0.009111 0.019152 0.037458 0.072014 0.133824 0.237189 0.419192
2025-07-06 0.007781 0.017281 0.035412 0.071060 0.137217 0.251516 0.458873
2025-07-13 0.007243 0.016873 0.035991 0.074911 0.149440 0.281795 0.528015
2025-07-20 0.006641 0.016215 0.035970 0.077577 0.159703 0.309471 0.594876
2025-07-27 0.005643 0.014532 0.033693 0.075610 0.161194 0.321921 0.636455
2025-08-03 0.004905 0.013296 0.032152 0.074922 0.165071 0.339104 0.688228
2025-08-10 0.004162 0.011893 0.030024 0.072684 0.165543 0.349838 0.728826
2025-08-17 0.003578 0.010761 0.028314 0.071096 0.167122 0.362772 0.774645
2025-08-24 0.003194 0.010072 0.027526 0.071455 0.172834 0.384345 0.839072
2025-08-31 0.002746 0.009104 0.025899 0.069619 0.173498 0.395631 0.883731
2025-09-07 0.002611 0.009010 0.026458 0.073103 0.186490 0.433671 0.986112
2025-09-14 0.002332 0.008425 0.025642 0.073072 0.191353 0.454807 1.054846
2025-09-21 0.002014 0.007639 0.024152 0.071113 0.191420 0.465497 1.102181
2025-09-28 0.001774 0.007050 0.023110 0.070169 0.193816 0.481497 1.162183
2025-10-05 0.001714 0.007060 0.023797 0.073976 0.208390 0.526173 1.288642